【摘要】 中国地震局对全国重点省区地震专项应急预案的最新评审结果显示,当前预案管理存在体系欠缺、制度混乱等问题,亟待研究解决。该文基于应急预案公共产品属性,结合产品生命周期理论,将预案管理过程划为设计期、测试期、推广期、整合期、升级期等5个阶段,分析了不同阶段的特征差异和管理需求,揭示了预案管理任务在时间维的分布模式,初步构建了应急预案生命周期管理框架。该框架是对预案管理实务的现实思考与梳理,对新启动《突发事件应急预案管理办法》的具体操作和执行有一定借鉴价值。更多还原

【Abstract】 According to evaluation results from China Earthquake Administration for special earthquake emergency plans in key provinces and cities,management of the current plans has problems as lack of system,chaos institutions and so on,which need to be studied and solved.Based on public goods property of emergency plan,and combined with Product Life-Cycle Theory,plan management process is divided into five stages as designing period,testing period,popularizing period,integrating period and upgrading period.After analyzing the property differences and management needs of each stage,the distribution pattern of plan-management tasks in time dimension is revealed,and a management framework for life cycle of plans is initially constructed.The framework is a realistic thinking and combing of plan management practice,and has a reference value for specific operating and implementating of the newly started Regulations on Management on Emergency Plans of Sudden Events.更多还原