【摘要】 生态文明建设活动会在省市之间产生相互影响,使得绿色发展指标存在空间依赖关系,生态文明建设绩效评价需要考虑这种空间自相关作用。本文利用"2016年生态文明建设年度评价结果公报"的指标数据,采用全局Moran指数和局域Moran指数对绿色发展指标及其构成指标进行空间相关性分析,力求以最直观的方法揭示生态文明建设绩效复杂的空间特征。分析发现各省市绿色发展指数存在空间自相关特征,全局Moran指数并不高,但是构成绿色发展指标的环境质量、环境治理、发展质量和绿色生活等指标却普遍具有显著并且强烈的空间自相关特征,生态文明建设绩效受到明显的空间相关性影响。在生态文明建设绩效空间相关性分析中我们发现,与经济活动密切相关的绿色发展构成指标空间自相关程度比较高,与生态环境自然资源禀赋联系比较多的绿色发展构成指标空间自相关程度较低,这就提示我们人类活动引发的空间相关性对生态文明建设绩效具有更加明显的影响,因此我们可以着眼于发挥空间相关性的趋同作用,着力培育生态文明建设先进试点示范样板,鼓励个别省市努力作为,有所突破,率先垂范,以试点示范产生的空间效应激发周边省市生态文明建设的仿效、追赶和竞争动力,带动其他省市向示范省市靠拢,实现生态文明建设整体水平的提高,起到借助空间相关性促进生态文明建设的作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 The activities of ecological civilization construction will affect each other among provinces and cities,and therefore the green development index have spatial dependence. The performance evaluation of ecological civilization construction needs to consider this spatial autocorrelation. Based on the index data of‘2016 Annual Evaluation Report of Ecological Civilization Construction’,this paper analyzes the spatial correlation of green development index and its composition index by using general Moran index and local Moran index,and reveals the complex spatial characteristics of ecological civilization construction performance in the most intuitive way. It is found that green development index has spatial autocorrelation in provinces and cities,general Moran index is not high,but environmental quality,environmental governance,development quality,and green life that constitute green development index have obvious and strong autocorrelation,and the performance of ecological civilization construction is affected by the spatial correlation.Analysis on spatial correlation of ecological construction performance shows that green development index that has a close relation with economic activities has higher spatial autocorrelation degree,and green development index that has a close relation with natural resources endowment has a lower spatial autocorrelation degree. This means that spatial correlation caused by human activities has more significant influence on ecological civilization construction performance. Based on the analysis above,we should focus on the convergent role of spatial correlation,cultivate advanced pilot demonstration models for the construction of ecological civilization,so as to bring other provinces and cities closer to the demonstration provinces and cities,and promote the construction of ecological civilization with the help of spatial relevance.更多还原