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世界能源发展趋势与中国能源未来发展方向

Development Trend of World Energy and Future Development Directions of China’s Energy

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【作者】 张所续马伯永

【Author】 ZHANG Suoxu;MA Boyong;Chinese Academy of Natural Resources Economics;China Geological Survey;

【机构】 中国自然资源经济研究院中国地质调查局

【摘要】 当前,全球能源将与经济出现脱钩,化石能源仍是世界的主导燃料,新兴经济体引领全球能源消费增长,可再生能源成为全球应对气候变化的重大举措,电力领域迎来重大转型,核电有望成为最具竞争力的电力脱碳能源,煤炭的核心地位逐步降低,技术创新打破可再生能源的制约,可再生能源将重塑地缘政治格局。面对世界能源发展趋势,中国必须以全球思维应对能源领域的挑战,依托"一带一路"建设,扩大和深化国际能源合作;加强能源领域科技创新,引领全球能源转型;立足国内挖潜,构建多元化的能源储备体系;打造具有国际竞争力的"核心企业",拓展上中下游产业链。

【Abstract】 At present, global energy will be decoupled from the economy. Fossil energy is still the dominant fuel in the world. Emerging economies are leading the growth of global energy consumption. Renewable energy has become a major global measure to deal with climate change. There is a major transformation in the field of electricity. Nuclear power is expected to become the most competitive decarbonized energy for electricity. Coal’s core position is gradually declining. Technological innovation breaks the restriction of renewable energy. Renewable energy will reshape the geopolitical landscape. Facing the trend of world energy development, China must cope with challenges in the energy field with global thinking, expand and deepen international energy cooperation on the basis of construction of the Belt and Road, strengthen technological innovation in the energy field, lead the global energy transformation, build a diversified energy reserve system based on domestic potential exploitation, establish internationally competitive "core enterprises" and extend the upstream, middle and downstream of industrial chains.

【基金】 原国土资源部部门预算项目“基于市场动态监测的国土资源形势分析与战略实施评估”(121102000000150006)
  • 【文献出处】 中国国土资源经济 ,Natural Resource Economics of China , 编辑部邮箱 ,2019年10期
  • 【分类号】F416.2
  • 【网络出版时间】2019-06-10 16:26
  • 【被引频次】99
  • 【下载频次】3820
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