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基于逐步判别分析的砂土液化预测研究

Sand liquefaction prediction based on stepwise discriminant analysis

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【作者】 张菊连沈明荣

【Author】 ZHANG Ju-lian1, SHEN Ming-rong1, 2 (1. Department of Geotechnical Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China; 2. Key Laboratory of Geotechnical and Underground Engineering of Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China)

【机构】 同济大学土木学院地下建筑与工程系同济大学岩土及地下工程教育部重点实验室

【摘要】 为高效地进行砂土液化的预测,运用逐步判别法,从8个液化影响因子中选择平均粒径、烈度、震中距等3个判别能力显著的影响因子,建立判别函数,并利用工程实例进行验证。研究结果表明:逐步判别分析模型预测性能良好,且能有效地选择对砂土液化起主导作用的因子。相比距离判别分析,逐步判别分析建立的判别函数更加稳定,且所需测试因子较少,节省了因试验和现场调查所耗费的大量人力、物力和时间,因此逐步判别分析是一种值得推广的砂土液化预测方法。

【Abstract】 In order to analyze sand liquefaction problem efficiently, the stepwise discriminant method was applied to its prediction; the factors with significant discriminant ability were selected to establish discriminant function. A number of site cases were used to verify its validity and accuracy. The results show that: stepwise discriminant analysis model has excellent liquefaction predicting performance; and it can choose effective factors which play a leading role in sand liquefaction. Compared to the distance discriminant analysis, discriminant function based on stepwise discriminant analysis is more stable; and fewer factors investigated or tested are needed, which saves human and material resources for the project construction. Thus it is worthwhile to apply stepwise discriminant analysis to liquefaction prediction widely.

【关键词】 砂土液化逐步判别预测
【Key words】 sand liquefactionstepwise discriminantprediction
【基金】 上海市重点学科建设资助项目(No.B308)
  • 【文献出处】 岩土力学 ,Rock and Soil Mechanics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2010年S1期
  • 【分类号】TU441.4
  • 【被引频次】10
  • 【下载频次】396
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