【摘要】 地震灾害具有破坏力度大和突发性强等特点,不仅会破坏农业耕地、农村水利和交通通讯等基础设施,也会对农业产出和农村人力资本造成重大影响和毁损。本文利用2000—2016年中国西部地区地级市面板数据,评估地震对区域农业经济的影响,实证结果表明地震发生导致区域农业产出下降约10. 6%,农业人口数量下降约7. 53%。同时,通过地区异质性分析发现,相较于西北地区而言,地震对西南地区农业经济的破坏力更大,地震仅对西北地区农业产出有负面影响,而地震对西南地区的农业人口和产出都会产生负面作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 The earthquake disaster,which has the characteristics of great destruction and sudden intensity,will not only destroy the infrastructure of agricultural land,rural water conservancy and traffic and communication,but also cause significant influence and damage to agricultural output and rural human capital. In this paper,the impact of earthquake on regional agricultural economy is evaluated by using the panel data in 2000—2016 of Western China. The results show that the earthquake caused the decrease of agricultural output by about 10. 6% and the decrease of agricultural population by about7. 53%. At the same time,through the analysis of regional heterogeneity,it is found that the earthquake is more destructive to the agricultural economy in the southwest than in the northwest,and the earthquake only has a negative impact on the agricultural output of the northwest region,and the earthquake will have a negative effect on the agricultural population and output in the southwest region.更多还原