【摘要】 随着全球气候系统不稳定性的增加,气候越来越显著的影响到了旅游活动的进行和旅游业的发展。本文从气候舒适度的角度来分析气候变化对旅游业的影响,利用天水市1965～2013年逐月气温、相对湿度和平均风速等气象资料,运用温湿指数THI、风寒指数WCI、人体舒适度指数K等构建模型,对天水市逐年逐月旅游舒适指数进行计算和分析,结果表明:天水市5月和9月最适宜旅游,12月、1月、2月最不适宜旅游。各指数模型M-K突变检验表明,天水市风寒指数、人体舒适度指数和温湿指数分别从1977、1984、1993年起舒适度天数明显增多。这一结果为游客选择旅游时节提供参考,为旅游规划合理配置旅游资源提供理论依据。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the increasing instability of the global climate system, climate has more and more significantly affected the development of tourism activities and tourism. This paper analyses the impact of climate change on Tourism from the perspective of climate comfort. Based on the daily temperature, relative humidity and average wind speed of Tianshui City from 1965 to 2013, the tourism comfort index of Tianshui City from May to September is calculated and analyzed by using the models of temperature and humidity index THI, wind-cold index WCI and human comfort index K. Month is the most suitable for tourism, December, January and February are the least suitable for tourism. The M-K mutation test of each index model shows that the wind-cold index, human comfort index and temperature-humidity index of Tianshui City have increased significantly since 1977, 1984 and 1993, respectively.This result provides a reference for tourists to choose tourism season and a theoretical basis for rational allocation of tourism resources in tourism planning.更多还原