【摘要】 地震预测研究面临低水平的预测与政府和公众高期望值的矛盾,认为加强机理研究是根本出路之一。从震源物理和地震前兆研究的现状、特点、研究的方法等方面进行阐述,明确需要进一步研究和关注的问题,并提出几点建议。应找出新思路,发展适合我国大陆地质条件的震源物理理论和方法。更多还原

【Abstract】 Earthquake prediction research faces contradictory between low level of prediction and the high expectations of government and the public.The author thinks that strengthening research on mechanism is one of the fundamental way out.The current situation,characteristic and study methods of focal physical and earthquake precursor studies are discussed and some issues on further research and concerns are proposed and suggested.The status quo from the the focal physical and earthquake precursor studies,characteristics,study methods set forth a clear need for further research and concerns,and make a few suggestions.It is concluded that we should find new ideas to develop the focal physical theory and methods suited to China’s mainland geological conditions.更多还原