【摘要】 我国是地震频发国家,震损水库是国家与社会关注的重大公共安全问题。研究构建水库大坝震损程度数学预测模型,对于快速评价水库大坝的震损程度,辅助政府部门应急决策具有重要意义。根据已有研究成果,确立了水库大坝震损的主要影响因素,构建了水库大坝震损预测隐式模型,通过进一步分析各种影响因素与水库大坝震损程度的关系,建立了水库大坝震损预测显式模型,并给出了求解方法。更多还原

【Abstract】 China is an earthquake-prone country,the safety of earthquake-damaged reservoir and dam is a major public safety concern of country and society.There is important significance to build the prediction model of reservoir and dam seismic damage for rapidly evaluating damage degree and supporting the decision-making of government.Based on the pre-existing researches,the main influence factors on dam seismic damage are defined and the implicit prediction model of dam seismic damage is built initially.Through the further relationship analysis between factors and seismic damage degree,the explicit prediction model is finally constructed for the first time.The solution of the explicit model is also given herein.更多还原