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多因素影响的建筑物群体震害预测方法研究

A method for earthquake damage prediction of building groups based on multiple factors

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【作者】 张桂欣孙柏涛

【Author】 ZHANG Guixin,SUN Baitao(Institute of Engineering Mechanics,China Earthquake Administration,Harbin 150080,China)

【机构】 中国地震局工程力学研究所

【摘要】 为了简化震害预测工作,提出了一种多因素影响的建筑物群体震害预测方法。首先,将已有数据库中的资料按不同相似度进行分类,从中选取所需要的样本数据。然后将所选取的样本数据按不同影响因素分类,分别求出考虑各影响因子下的震害矩阵,再由房屋普查资料得出预测区考虑各影响因素时各影响因子下的房屋的建筑面积,并将建筑面积比例作为各影响因子的权重,最终得出预测区某种结构类型整体的震害矩阵。利用文中方法建立了厦门市多层砌体结构的震害矩阵,与厦门市采用单体抽样法得出的震害矩阵相比较,其平均震害指数最大差值不大于0.041,验证了此方法的可行性。

【Abstract】 In order to simplify the work of earthquake damage predictions,this paper presents a method for the earthquake damage prediction of building groups based on multiple factors.First,data in the database should be classified into different groups according to similarity,and the required samples are selected.Then the selected samples are classified according to different influence factors.The earthquake damage matrixes of different categories of buildings are given,and then building areas of a predicted district are calculated according to survey data,and the raties of the building areas are given as weight of influencing factors.Finally,vulnerability matrix for a certain structural type can be set up.The earthquake damage matrix of multi-story masonry structures of Xiamen City is obtained using this method.After comparing with the results between the method of this paper and the single sampling one,the maximum difference of average earthquake damage index is no more than 0.041,which show that the approach is feasible.

【基金】 地震行业科研专项(200708041);国家自然科学基金重点项目(50938006)
  • 【文献出处】 世界地震工程 ,World Earthquake Engineering , 编辑部邮箱 ,2010年01期
  • 【分类号】TU202
  • 【被引频次】20
  • 【下载频次】305
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