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基于BP神经网络的土石坝地震震害预测

Estimation of Earthquake Induced Damage for Earth-rockfill Dam Based on BP Neural Network

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【作者】 卢继旺朱晟周建平韩永

【Author】 LU Jiwang1,2 ZHU Sheng1,2 ZHOU Jianping3 HAN Yong4(1.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China;2.Institute of Hydraulic Structures,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China;3.China Hydropower Consultants Limited,Beijing 100044,China;4.HydroChina Chengdu Engineering Corporation,Chengdu 610072,China)

【机构】 河海大学水文水资源与水利水电工程科学国家重点实验室河海大学水工结构研究所中国水电顾问集团公司中水顾问集团成都勘测设计研究院

【摘要】 影响强震区土石坝震害的因素复杂,各影响因素也可能存在相互关联现象,两两之间为多模态且带噪声的非线性关系。利用人工神经网络具有高度容错、自学习、自组织分析复杂非线性问题的特点,结合40组国内外土石坝样本建立BP神经网络对其历史震害进行训练,使得土石坝震害与其影响因素之间的非线性关系得到较好的映射,进而建立基于BP神经网络的土石坝震害等级预测模型。实例验证表明,该BP网络能够对土石坝震害进行有效预测。

【Abstract】 Factors that affect the earthquake disaster of earth-rockfill dam are very complex.These factors may be interrelated each other with multi-modal and non-linear noise relationship.Artificial neural network has characteristics of high fault-tolerant,self-learning,self-organization analysis and can be analyzed complex nonlinear problems.BP neural network model is established to train the historical earthquake disasters samples with 40 group data sets of earth-rockfill dam in the world.The non-linear relationship between earth-rockfill dam and its influence factors is reflected excellently and the seismic disaster levels prediction model of earth-rockfill dam is established successfully based on BP neural network.Example shows that the BP network can be used to predict earthquake disasters of earth-rockfill dam effectively.

  • 【文献出处】 水电能源科学 ,Water Resources and Power , 编辑部邮箱 ,2010年05期
  • 【分类号】TV641
  • 【被引频次】7
  • 【下载频次】220
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