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大气污染与经济增长关系的再检验——基于门槛回归模型对179个地级以上城市的分组研究

Re-testing the Relationship between Air Pollution and Economic Growth: A Grouping Study of 179 Cities Based on Threshold Regression Model

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【作者】 王微微谭咏琳

【Author】 WANG Weiwei;TAN Yonglin;School of Economics, University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences;

【机构】 中国社会科学院大学经济学院

【摘要】 目前,随着中国经济的发展,环境问题日益严峻,如何通过分析大气污染与经济增长的关系来实现绿色发展引起广泛关注。以人均收入和第二产业比例为门槛变量,将179个地级以上的城市分成四组,分别进行回归检验,研究在不同类别的地区中,经济增长与大气污染的关系是否符合库兹涅茨曲线规律,另外也探究控制变量对大气污染的影响。实证分析结果发现,低收入、低第二产业比例城市的库兹涅茨曲线呈N型,低收入、高第二产业比例城市呈负向线性,高收入、低第二产业比例城市和高收入、高第二产业比例城市呈倒U型。因此,应因地制宜加快产业结构升级,实现绿色产业发展,调整环境规制力度,完善环保法律法规,加大环保科研投入,推动环保技术创新,以协调环境保护和经济增长之间的关系。

【Abstract】 With the development of China economy, environmental problems are becoming increasingly serious, and how to achieve green development by analyzing the relationship between air pollution and economic growth has attracted wide attention. With per capita income and secondary industry ratio as threshold variables, 179 cities above prefecture level are divided into four groups and tested respectively by regression analysis so as to study the relationship between economic growth and atmospheric pollution in different types of regions as well as the influence of control variables on atmospheric pollution. The empirical results show that the Kuznets curve of low-income and low-secondary-industry ratio cities is N-shaped while that of low-income and high-secondary-industry ratio cities is negatively linear, and that of high-income, low-secondary-industry ratio cities and high-income and high-secondary-industry ratio cities is inverted U-shaped. Therefore, it is necessary to speed up the upgrading of industrial structure according to local conditions, realize the development of green industry, adjust the intensity of environmental regulation, perfect environmental protection laws and regulations, increase the investment in environmental protection research and promote technological innovation of environmental protection in order to coordinate the relationship between environmental protection and economic growth.

【基金】 中国社会科学院大学学术创新工程支持计划
  • 【文献出处】 山东财经大学学报 ,Journal of Shandong University of Finance and Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2019年05期
  • 【分类号】X51;F124.1
  • 【被引频次】5
  • 【下载频次】389
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