【摘要】 从科学观高度,反思汶川特大地震的深刻教训。1.某些地震学家认为短临地震预报不可预测,这是西方科学"还原论"思维方式的必然结果。2.国内一些交叉科学家运用中国传统文化的整体思维结合现代科技,已经找到大地震临震的天文触发因子和部分器测临震信号;利用此种天地耦合方法进行内部试验,已获得多次成功。3.在汶川地震前,非常规手段事先收到了多种器测的精确信号,事后分析发现,临震期间也有明显的天文触发条件,表明该地震的可预报性是存在的。4.中西两种科学思想各有其利与弊,从21世纪起,走中西两种科学思想的优势融合,有可能成为新时期科学发展的战略趋势。更多还原

【Abstract】 From a scientific v iew of the high,reflect on the profound lessons of the Wenchuan great earthquake.Some seismologists consider short-term and impending earthquake prediction is the unpredictability of Western science,"Reductionism" the inevitable result of a variety of thinking;2.Some cross-scientists use the traditional Chinese culture as a whole combination of modern scientific thinking,we have found a major earthquake impending astronomical trigger factor and imminent earthquake-measuring signal;The use of such earth coupling method for internal testing,has made a number of successful;3.Before the Wenchuan earthquake,they had received a variety of precision-measuring precision signal.Later analysis showed that during the imminent earthquake and there have been noticeable astronomical trigger conditions.This indicates that the earthquake predictability exists;4.Chinese and Western scientific thought has its own pros and cons.From the 21 century,China and the West take advantage of two kinds of scientific thinking will eventually become a new era of scientific convergence trends.更多还原