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决策气象服务回顾与展望

Review and Prospect of Meteorological Decision-Making Services

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【作者】 薛建军王维国王秀荣张建忠李佳英

【Author】 XUE Jianjun WANG Weiguo WANG Xiurong ZHANG Jianzhong LI Jiaying National Meteorological Center,Beijing 100081

【机构】 国家气象中心

【摘要】 简要回顾了决策气象服务发展历程、取得的成就,介绍了决策气象服务内容、特点及气象灾害预评估技术,通过登陆台风、致洪暴雨、低温雨雪冰冻灾害气象服务以及"5.12"汶川大地震气象服务、2008年北京奥运会及残奥会气象服务等重大服务案例的剖析分析了影响决策气象服务效益的因素,总结了决策气象服务成功经验,并就如何进一步改进决策气象服务工作进行了思考。

【Abstract】 The developing course and the consequential achievement of the meteorological decision-making services were briefly reviewed.The content and character of the meteorological decision-making services as well as the meteorological disaster evaluating technique were described.By studying the meteorological service cases of some significant events,such as the landfalling typhoon,the flood-inducing rainstorm,the cryogenic freezing rain and snow weather,the 12 May 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake,as well as the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games and Paralympic Games,the factors influencing the meteorological decision-making service benefit were analyzed,the successful experiences were summarized,and some ideas about further improving were put forward.

【关键词】 决策服务回顾展望
【Key words】 decision-making servicereviewprospect
【基金】 国家质检总局公益性行业专项《全国气象服务规范》项目(编号200810588)资助
  • 【分类号】P4
  • 【被引频次】38
  • 【下载频次】415
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