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关于意大利6级地震的预测和分析

The prediction and analysis about Italy M6.0 earthquake

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【作者】 郭广猛邱海涛王晓谦

【Author】 GUO Guang-meng1,QIU Hai-tao2,WANG Xiao-qian2(1.Remote Sensing Center,Nanyang Normal University,Nanyang 473061,China; 2.Earthquake Bureau of Nanyang City,Nanyang 473000,China)

【机构】 南阳师范学院卫星遥感中心南阳市地震局

【摘要】 2012年4月23日卫星云图上显示意大利地区上空出现了云异常.其特征表现为云的边界清晰,呈直线分布,并且云系不受风力影响,稳定不动,在整个欧洲地区只有意大利地区的云系表现出此类异常.因此认为该地区的地质活动增强,于是作出意大利在1个月内要发生5.5~6.0级地震的预测.2012年5月20日意大利北部发生6.0级地震.证实该预测是准确的.研究还表明,2012年5月6日意大利出现了同样的异常云系,这些异常的时空特征与Mogi Doughnut假说吻合.

【Abstract】 Cloud anomaly above Italy was found from satellite cloud image on April 23.The edge of the cloud was very clear,it was a straight line,and it stayed there and did not move with the winds.All the clouds in the whole Europe were normal,and only the clouds above Italy showed an anomalous pattern.So we considered that this cloud anomaly meant the active underground geological activity.According to this anomaly we predicted there would be a M5.5~6.0 earthquake in Italy,and this prediction was sent to some Italy and Japan scientists on April 23.On May 20 a M6.0 quake occurred in north Italy,and this proved our prediction.The look back analysis also showed that there exited similar clouds on May 6,and it was close to the epicenter,which showed that these anomalous cloud patterns were accordance with the Mogi Doughnut hypothesis.

【关键词】 地震预测卫星云图意大利
【Key words】 earthquake predictionsatellite cloud imageItaly
【基金】 国家自然科学基金项目(41071280)
  • 【文献出处】 南阳师范学院学报 ,Journal of Nanyang Normal University , 编辑部邮箱 ,2012年12期
  • 【分类号】P315.7
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】53
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