【摘要】 以2014—2018年广东省碳交易价格作为研究对象,研究了广东省碳交易价格的影响因素。研究发现,广东碳市场的建立已经产生了一定的减排成效,企业发电成本、当地用电量都会左右碳价格的走势,欧洲CER期货价格依然是影响广东省碳交易价格的最显著性因素,同时,上海银行间同业拆放利率以及国际天然气价格等都对广东省碳排放权交易价格存在正向影响。基于此,我国应该继续推进碳市场建设、积极调整能源结构,巩固减排效果,同时关注国际碳排放价格走势,提前做好能源价格预测,掌握能源价格走势,衡量碳减排成本与能耗成本之间的差异,找到能源选择与节能减排间的平衡点。更多还原

【Abstract】 Taking the carbon trading price of Guangdong Province in 2014-2018 as the research object,the influencing factors of carbon trading price in Guangdong Province were studied. The study found that the establishment of the carbon market in Guangdong has produced certain emission reduction effects. The cost of power generation and local electricity consumption will affect the trend of carbon prices. The price of European CER futures was still the most significant factor affecting the price of carbon trading in Guangdong Province. At the same time,Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate and International Natural Gas Prices have a positive impact on the price of carbon emission rights in Guangdong Province. Based on this,China should continue to promote the construction of the carbon market,actively adjust the energy structure,consolidate the emission reduction effect,pay attention to the international carbon emission price trend,make good energy price forecasts in advance,master the energy price trend,and measure the difference between carbon emission reduction cost and energy consumption cost to find the balance point between energy choice and energy conservation and emission reduction.更多还原