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基于LMDI的内蒙古碳排放影响因素研究

Research on influencing factors of Inner Mongolia carbon emission based on LMDI

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【作者】 李修东

【Author】 Li Xiudong;Research Institute of Coal Strategy and Planning,Coal Industry Planning Institute;School of Management,China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing);

【机构】 煤炭工业规划设计研究院有限公司煤炭战略规划研究院中国矿业大学(北京)管理学院

【摘要】 运用LMDI模型对内蒙古碳排放的影响因素进行分解,分解为碳排放量、能源结构、能源效率和人均GDP四个因素,并利用2007—2017年内蒙古经济发展和碳排放相关数据,对上述影响因素进行动态分析。结果表明:经济增长与碳排放两者存在着密切的关系,经济增长是内蒙古碳排放量增大最主要的因素,各类影响因素表现出明显的阶段特征,呈现出倒U型的特点,研究揭示了内蒙古以煤为主的能源结构和粗放的经济增长方式,并提出政策建议,包括优化能源结构、提高能源效率和增强低碳技术研发能力。

【Abstract】 The LMDI model was used to decompose the influencing factors of carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia and decompose into four factors:carbon emissions,energy structure,energy efficiency and per capita GDP,using the data on economic development and carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia from 2007 to 2017,the dynamic analysis was conducted on the above influencing factors. The results showed that there is a close relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions. Economic growth is the most important factor in the increase of carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia. Various influencing factors showed obvious stage characteristics,showing the characteristics of inverted U-shaped. It revealed the coal-based energy structure and extensive economic growth mode in Inner Mongolia,and policy recommendations were proposed including optimizing energy structure,improving energy efficiency and enhancing low-carbon technology research and development capabilities.

  • 【文献出处】 煤炭经济研究 ,Coal Economic Research , 编辑部邮箱 ,2019年04期
  • 【分类号】X321
  • 【被引频次】4
  • 【下载频次】229
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