【摘要】 构建国有林区森林资源安全指标体系,基于2000—2016年黑龙江省国有林区森林资源的时间序列数据,采用熵权法测算森林资源安全综合指数,运用多元线性回归法分析森林资源管护承包对国有林区森林资源安全的影响。结果表明:2015—2016年黑龙江省国有林区的森林资源安全总体处于良好阶段;森林资源管护投资、个体承包管护面积占管护总面积的比例等对国有林区森林资源安全产生显著的正向影响;管护资本投入是对森林资源安全影响最大的人为干预因素,火灾发生次数是对森林资源安全影响最大的自然灾害因素。因此,为了保障国有林区森林资源安全,建议加大管护资金投入,增加管护人员数量,组建联合管护队伍,签订管护责任书,加强森林巡护,防范自然灾害的发生。更多还原

【Abstract】 ⑴ Background——The state-owned forest region of Heilongjiang province is the first region in China to propose and implement the forest resource management and protection contract model.Does the implementation of forest resource contracting model have a direct promoting effect on forest resource security?This problem need to be solved in state-owned forest area reform.⑵ Methods——Based on time series data from 2000 to 2016,forest resource security index system is constructed,and the comprehensive index of forest resource security is calculated by entropy weight method,and this paper constructs a multivariate linear regression model of forest resource security in state-owned forest area of Heilongjiang province. ⑶ Results——From 2000 to 2016,the forest resource security of the state-owned forest areas in Heilongjiang province showed a step-like upward trend(the forest resource safety comprehensive index rose from 0.117 in 2000 to 0.917 in 2016),and entered a good state from 2015.This shows taht significant achievement have been made in the management and protection of forest resources in Heilongjiang state-owned forest regions.Moreover,the forest resource security in 2015-2016 is in a good level.Among the factors of human intervention,governments and governments at all levels are still in the primary stage of the investment in forest resource management and protection,increasing the investment in forest resource management and protection will significantly promote the security of forest resources,and increasing the proportion of individual contracted management and protection area to the total management and protection area will significantly promote the security of forest resources.In natural disaster factors,the increase in the number of forest fires will significantly reduce the security of forest resources,forest fire prevention investment does not have a significant impact on forest resource security,and the increase of rodent pest control rate in forest disease will significantly reduce the security of forest resources.Compared with human intervention factors,the correlation coefficient of natural disaster factors are generally small,indicating that human intervention rather than natural disaster is the real significant impact on forest resources security.⑷ Conclusions and Discussions——Forest resource management and protection has greatly promoted the security of forest resources.Moreover,forest resource management and protection investment,the proportion of individual contracted management and protection area to the total management and protection area,and the number of forest fires are the three factors that have the greatest impact on forest resource security.Based on this,three suggestions are put forward:①It is suggested to increase the investment of management and protection funds.We should strive for cooperation with enterprises and other social capital as well as international organizations to attract social capital.②It is necessary to continuously increase the number of management and protection personnel to ensure the security of forest resources.We could combine management and protection with poverty alleviation,so as to get rid of poverty through management and protection and attract poor people from surrounding areas to join the management and protection team.③It is suggested to set up a joint management and protection team,sign the management and protection responsibility letter,strengthen forest patrol and protection,and prevent the occurrence of natural disasters.更多还原