【摘要】 拓补预测实际上是ＧＭ（１，１）模型群的预测。将首都圈年累积释放地震能量的统计结果作为建模的基本数据，建立相应的拓扑预测模型，对２０００年以前首都圈年累积释放地震能量的发展趋势作出初步预测。更多还原

【Abstract】 The topological forcast actually is a prediction of GM(1, 1) model groups. The accumulated seismic energy released annually in Beijing area are used as basic data to build corresponding topological forcasting model. The tendency of seismic energy release accumulated annually in Beijing area before 2000 years has been predicted primarily.更多还原