【摘要】 在统计1900~2013年墨西哥MW≥7.5地震数据的基础上,运用可公度理论分别从时间和空间的角度进行地震灾害的趋势预测。利用蝴蝶结构图和可公度结构系加强对时间对称性的分析,再通过地震震中的经纬度迁移和空间迁移规律,判断得出,墨西哥2016年的灾害信号较强,有发生7.5级以上地震的可能。将地震的时空表像和对称性结合并分析其可能的机理,为地震灾害的趋势判断研究提供一定的参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper selected a range of earthquakes with MW7. 5 in Mexico from 1900 to 2013 and using commensurability method to give prediction results. Through making use of butterfly structure and commensurability structure system and latitude-longitude migration law for further study,they came to a conclusion that a strong earthquake with MW7. 5 will occur on 2016 in Mexico. According to space-time symmetry and other possible mechanisms of earthquakes,they provided basis for earthquake judgment in the future.更多还原