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新20号井水位异常特征分析

ANALYSIS ON ABNORMAL CHARACTERISTICS OF WATER LEVEL OF NEW NO.20 WELL

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【作者】 朱成英高小其

【Author】 ZHU Cheng-ying,GAO Xiao-qi(Earthquake Administration of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,Urumqi 830011,China)

【机构】 新疆维吾尔自治区地震局

【摘要】 运用m apsis软件前兆异常分析中的差分、从属函数和变差对新20号井水位进行异常识别,结果认为:(1)差分、从属函数和变差异常形态均为高值异常;(2)差分和变差对近场MS≥5地震漏报率较高,但有异常出现时,后续往往有地震对应,而从属函数对近场MS≥5映震率为66.7%,对远场MS≥7映震率为71.4%;(3)差分最大异常量与震级基本成正比,而与震中距基本上成反比。从属函数最大异常量与震级关系不明显,而与震中距基本上成反比。变差的震例较少,暂不分析。

【Abstract】 Using difference,subordinate function and variogram methods in Mapseis soft to analyze the anomaly of water level in New No.20 well,the result shows,(1) the abnormal configuration is high value anomaly;(2) the missed event ratio of difference and variogram is high for the MS≥5 earthquakes in the near region;once the abnormities appear,there will be corresponding earthquakes occurring;the reflection ratio is 66.7% for the subordinate function in the near region and 71.4% for the MS≥7 in the far region;(3)it is positive relation between maximum abnormal range and magnitude for difference,but it is reverse relation between maximum abnormal range and epicenter distance for difference;though there is inconspicuous relation between maximum abnormal range and magnitude for subordinate function,it is reverse relation between maximum abnormal range and epicenter distance;the earthquake cases is less for variogram,so it is not analyzed in this paper.

【基金】 2010年度震情跟踪专题(2010020503);新疆地震科学基金(200813);国家局三结合(2009041)联合资助
  • 【分类号】P315.72
  • 【被引频次】3
  • 【下载频次】33
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