节点文献
新疆M_S≥7地震时空对称性及未来趋势判断
THE TIME-SPACE SYMMETRY AND THE TENDENCY JUDGMENT OF FUTURE M_S≥7 EARTHQUAKE IN XINJIANG
【摘要】 在时间对称性方面,通过可公度信息提取方法和蝴蝶结构法对新疆MS≥7地震的可能时间进行分析,认为新疆在2015年发生MS≥7地震的信号较强。在空间对称性方面,对新疆MS≥7地震信息统计分析,发现形成的4个四边形存在关于80°E经线及40°N纬线对称的规律,即"钟摆四边形结构"。经向上,"三点同侧,往返迁移"。纬向上存在"三北一南"与"两南两北"相互转换的空间迁移规律。由此判断2015年新疆MS≥7地震的震中位置大致位于80°E经线以东,40°N纬线以北。在信息预测方面更加逼近地震三要素的趋势预测内容,为今后新疆地震统计趋势研究提供了参考。
【Abstract】 Commensurability reflects the symmetry of time and space.It is a macro thought based on the information system.In the time symmetry aspect: we analyzed the possible occurring time of the earthquake whose level is greater than the seventh grade using the method of commensurability information extract and butterfly structure.We believe that there is a strong signal that the earthquake whose level is greater than the seventh grade will occur in Xinjiang in 2015.In the space symmetry aspect: we found there were four symmetrical rectangles whose symmetry axes are 80°E longitude and 40°N latitude,known as "pendulum rectangle structure";In the longitude direction,three points of the rectangle placed on the same side of the axis and exchanged in the symmetrical rectangle;In the latitude direction,the space alter discipline of "three north one south" and "two north two south" exchange showed up.According to these,the MS≥7 earthquake in 2015 will occur on the eastern side of 80°E longitude and northern side of 40°N latitude.Our research is more closely to the three factor earthquake tendency forecast in information forecast aspect.And it provides a reference to the research of earthquake tendency statistics in Xinjiang.
【Key words】 Time-space symmetry; Tendency judgment; Commensurability; Butterfly structure; Xinjiang;
- 【文献出处】 内陆地震 ,Inland Earthquake , 编辑部邮箱 ,2010年04期
- 【分类号】P315.7
- 【被引频次】41
- 【下载频次】264