【摘要】 秋立塔格断裂和黑孜尔断裂是穿过黑孜尔水库的活动构造带。黑孜尔断裂现今活动方式继承了新构造运动以来的运动特点。该地区发生6级左右地震有10年左右间隔的特点。1999年库车5.7级地震发生以后,库区地震活动目前处于相对平静的状态,在未来3—5年内,发生6级以上的地震可能性不大。更多还原

【Abstract】 The Qiulitage fault and Hezir fault are the active faults, which stride the Heizir reservoir. The present motion mode of Heizir fault inherits the characteristic of new tectonic motion. About 10 years interval, there will occur M6 earthquake, after the kuche(M=5.7, 1999) earthquake occurred, the region locates at relatively quiet state. At future 3 to 5 years, the feasibility of occurring M6 earthquakes is very small.更多还原