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气象要素与云南震区最大震级的统计相关分析

CORRELATIVE STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF METEROLOGICELEMENTS AND THE MAXIMUM MAGNITUDESIN SEISMIC AREAS IN YUNNAN

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【作者】 王在华徐国钧

【Author】 WANG Zai-hua+1, XU Guo-jun+2 (1.Seismological Bureau of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, China; 2.Department of Earth Science of Yunnan University, Kunming 650091, Yunnan, China)

【机构】 新疆维吾尔自治区地震局云南大学地球科学系 新疆乌鲁木齐830011云南昆明650091

【摘要】 根据地震活动与气象要素之间的密切关系 ,采用大量气象资料选取预报因子 ,建立逐步回归方程 ,将数理统计理论应用于地震预报 ,对中国云南 5个地震分区分上、下半年做出了最大震级预报 ,其置信度达到特别显著水平

【Abstract】 Based on the close relation between seismicity and meterologic elements, earthquake prediction factors were selected from abundance meterologic data and the regress equations were built. They were used to make predictions of the maximum magnitudes of 5 seismic areas in the first and the second half of 2001; the confidence levels were prominence.

  • 【分类号】P315.7
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】42
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