【摘要】 利用中国30个省市2000—2016年面板数据分析财政支农、农业技术创新对农业经济增长的影响效应。研究结果表明:(1)经济变量之间存在较高的空间依赖性,应采用时间和空间固定效应下的空间杜宾模型;(2)农业技术创新和财政支农正向作用于本地区的农业经济增长,但对周边地区农业经济增长有抑制作用,其中农业技术创新对农业经济增长的整体效应较小;(3)控制变量化肥施用量、机械总动力、农村固定资产投资额等都不同程度的促进了当地农业经济增长,但对周边地区影响不同;(4)分区域的结果显示,财政支农和农业技术创新对优化发展区农业经济增长模式影响效应最大,适度发展区次之,保护发展区更多依赖于化肥等传统生产要素投入,农业技术创新、农业机械总动力和农村固定资产投资对农业经济增长的贡献不明显。更多还原

【Abstract】 Using the panel data of 30 provinces from 2000 to 2016 to test the effect on agricultural economic growth from agriculture technology innovation and financial support to agriculture. The results show that:(1) there is spatial correlation among variables, and the optimal model is the Spatial Durbin Model of time and spatial fixed effect;(2) there are positive correlation among agriculture technology innovation, financial support and agricultural economic growth in the own region,but they are negative in other regions;(3) control variables promote the increasing of agricultural economic growth;(4) when setting up different regions, the results show that: Optimization Development Zone has the greatest impact effect Moderate Development Zone comes second, Protection Development Zone has the smallest effect, it is more dependent on traditional factors such as chemical fertilizer, mechanization and investment in the fixed assets make smaller contribution to agricultural economic growth in Protection Development Zone.更多还原