【摘要】 基于长江经济带11省市1999—2016年科技创新、金融发展和实体经济增长的数据,通过动态空间杜宾模型对三者之间的关系进行研究。实证结果显示,长江经济带发展空间效应正在形成,实体经济的发展相互之间有正向溢出效应;科技创新和金融发展对本地实体经济的发展有正向影响,但对相邻省市有负向影响;科技创新与金融发展交叉项对实体经济发展的直接作用为负,间接作用为正;开放程度、人力资本的增加对相邻地区产生了显著的正向空间溢出效应。为此,应当大力发展实体经济,充分发挥区域空间溢出效应。更多还原

【Abstract】 By means of dynamic spatial durbin model,this paper investigates the relationship among scientific and technological innovation,financial development and real economy growth based on data in these aspects of 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 1999 to 2016. The results show that the spatial effects of development are taking shape in Yangtze River Economic Belt,and there is a positive spillover effect in the development of real economy. Scientific and technological innovation and financial development have a positive effect on the development of the local real economy but a negative one on the neighboring provinces and cities. Moreover,the cross-term of scientific and technological innovation and financial development has a direct negative effect and a positive indirect effect on the real economy growth. The increase in openness and human capital has a significant positive spillover effect on neighboring regions. Therefore,it is a must that the real economy be vigorously developed and the regional spatial spillover effect be given full play to.更多还原