【摘要】 文章采用熵权TOPSIS方法、马尔可夫转移概率矩阵、灰色预测模型以及泰尔指数测度与分解方法,对中国省域旅游资源竞争力水平进行评价并探索其空间格局演变态势以及空间分异情况。结果显示:①2011—2016年,各省市区间的旅游资源竞争力水平差距在波动中有所上升,省域旅游资源竞争力水平发展不平衡、不协调的问题较为突出;②各省域旅游资源竞争力等级,在不同阶段呈现出截然相反的演化规律,随时间推移,中等级省域出现较高的等级下降风险,高等级省域与低等级省域的等级变化可能性较小;③2011—2016年以来,中国各区域内部的差异在多数年份中成为影响中国旅游资源竞争力水平省际差异的主要方面,而各区域间差异则是影响差异的次要方面。更多还原

【Abstract】 Applying the TOPSIS method combining with the entropy weight, Markov transition probability matrix, gray prediction model and Theil index, this article evaluates the competitiveness level of provincial tourism resources in China and explores its evolutionary characteristics and spatial differentiation. The results show that: 1) From 2011 to 2016, the difference in tourism resources competitiveness among provinces presents fluctuating increase tendency, and the problem of unbalanced and uncoordinated development is increasingly prominent. 2) The provinces with different competitiveness grades of tourism resources show opposite evolutionary patterns at different stages. Over time, the middle-grade provinces have higher risk of grade decline, while the high-grade and low-grade regions have less possibility of grade change. 3) From 2011 to 2016, the differences within the eastern, central, western and northeastern regions of China have become the main aspects affecting the inter-provincial differences in the competitiveness of China’s tourism resources in most years and explain the overall differences to a large extent. Furthermore, the inter-regional differences are secondary aspects of the differences.更多还原