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耦合潜源参数不确定性效应的地震海啸危险性分析——原理与方法
Principle and method of the seismic tsunami hazard analysis coupling uncertainty effect of potential source parameters
【摘要】 总结基于数值模拟的地震海啸危险性分析的基本步骤,论述潜源位置界定原则、潜源参数取值方法、潜源地震海啸发生率估算方法,同时给出一种可以耦合潜源参数不确定性效应的地震海啸危险性分析方法。
【Abstract】 The basic steps of the seismic tsunami hazard analysis based on numerical simulation is summarized.The specification of the potential seismic tsunami source location, selection of potential source parameters as well as estimation of the seismic tsunami occurrence rate is discussed. Meanwhile, a method of seismic tsunami hazard analysis coupling the uncertainty effect of the potential source parameters is proposed in this paper.
【关键词】 地震海啸;
危险性分析;
不确定性;
潜源参数;
数值模拟;
【Key words】 seismic tsunamis; hazard analysis; uncertainty; potential source parameters; numerical simulation;
【Key words】 seismic tsunamis; hazard analysis; uncertainty; potential source parameters; numerical simulation;
【基金】 国家自然科学基金项目(41276020)
- 【文献出处】 海洋预报 ,Marine Forecasts , 编辑部邮箱 ,2014年06期
- 【分类号】P731.25
- 【被引频次】4
- 【下载频次】51