节点文献
地震学异常度预测法的年度预测与检验
Annual forecast and examination based on the prediction method of seismological anomaly
【摘要】 采用作者提出的地震学异常度预测法 ,取地震频度和蠕变量两个完全独立的地震学参量 ,在时间序列的变化上演化出 10个判断地震学异常的预测参量 ,以待定系数法和平均法两种数学模型组成所有空间扫描点的数字预测解析式 ,形成 2 0 0 2年度的空间预测图像。经 1998~ 2 0 0 1年四年的预测结果检验 ,地震学异常度预测的预测效能较为理想
【Abstract】 According to the prediction method of seismological anomaly in this paper, two independent seismological parameters-earthquake frequency and earthquake creep are taken.Ten forecast parameters in time sequence are obtained and the numerical solution expressions in every space scanning point are determined by undetermined coefficient method and method of average. Its synthesize forecast charts are given too.The forecast charts from 1998 to 2000 can prove the prediction results effectively.
【关键词】 地震学异常度预测法;
地震学参量;
平均法;
待定系数法;
数字预测解析式;
【Key words】 Prediction method of seismological anomaly, Seismological parameter; Method of average; Undetermined coefficient method, Numerical forecast solution expression;
【Key words】 Prediction method of seismological anomaly, Seismological parameter; Method of average; Undetermined coefficient method, Numerical forecast solution expression;
【基金】 地震科学联合基金资助课题 (1990 95 )
- 【文献出处】 华南地震 ,South China Journal of Seismology , 编辑部邮箱 ,2002年02期
- 【分类号】P315.75
- 【下载频次】20