【摘要】 通过对汰内井水氡多年年变动态的分析 ,发现台湾地区强震前后汰内井水氡值表现出持续高值、年变规律畸变等异常 ,这些异常多为中期与中短期异常 ,有时也有短临异常和震后效应 ;利用中国地震局“八五”攻关软件《SHEP》对汰内井 1987～ 1999年氡测值进行层次跟踪中期预测分析 ,发现其预测结果与台湾 1987年以来发生的 4次强震在时间上有较好的对应关系更多还原

【Abstract】 By analyzing the annual variation of the hydro-radon in Tainei well, it has been found that there are some anomaly of hydro-radon before and after the strong earthquakes in Taiwan area, which appear to be that the values of the hydro-radon keep high level and the abnormal annual variation and so on. Most of them are short-medium term and medium term. However, sometimes they appear to be short-impending anomaly and post seismic effects. Based on the medium-term prediction and analysis on the values of the radon during 1987 to 1999 in Tainei well by using "SHEP" software and the HTM method, it has been discovered that the corresponding relationship in time between the prediction result and four strong shocks occurred in Taiwan area since 1987a.更多还原