【摘要】 利用多层次跟踪法， 对８０ 年代以来华南及沿海地区发生的９ 次大于 Ｍ Ｓ５０ 级和２ 次陆区接近 Ｍ Ｓ５０ 级地震的发震时间进行了系统验证。在１１ 个震例中预测时段正确的有： 中期１０ 个、短期５ 个和短临２ 个， 表明该方法可应用于华南及其沿海地区未来中强地震发震时间的预报更多还原

【Abstract】 The occurred time of the earthquakes have been systematic studied by using the HTM method, and these earthquakes consist of 9 earthquakes with M >5 0 and 2 earthquakes with 4 0< M <5 0 which occurred in the South China and coastal areas since 1980. The result shows that the judgment for 10 of medium-term, 5 of short-term and 2 of impending-term were correct. It is indicated that the HTM method should be applied to predict the origin time of the moderate earthquake which will occur in the South China areas in the future.更多还原