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城市人均综合能耗分类评估研究

Study on the classification evaluation of city per capita total energy consumption

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【作者】 宋国君国潇丹方国斌

【Author】 SONG Guojun;GUO Xiaodan;FANG Guobin;School of Environment,Renmin University of China;Institute of Statistics and Applied Mathematics,Anhui University of Finance & Economics;

【通讯作者】 国潇丹;

【机构】 中国人民大学环境学院安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院

【摘要】 提出了使用影响城市人均综合能耗的客观因素对城市进行分类评估的新方法,以解决城市间能效可比性及能效目标针对性的问题。运用单因素多阶段分类法及AdaBoost算法将全国地级以上城市分为采暖-高产值、采暖-低产值、非采暖-高工业-高产值、非采暖-高工业-低产值、非采暖-低工业-高产值、非采暖-低工业-低产值6类。2005—2015年,人均综合能耗全国平均值呈逐年稳中有升趋势,其中"采暖-高产值"城市人均综合能耗水平高、增长快,"非采暖-低工业-低产值"城市人均综合能耗始终居6类城市中最低水平。

【Abstract】 A new classification evaluation method of city per total energy consumption was proposed based on objective factors,in order to solve the area comparability and pertinence.The prefecture level above cities of China was divided into 6kinds of"heating-high per capita GDP","heating-low per capita GDP","non-heating-developed industry-high per capita GDP","non-heating-developed industry-low per capita GDP","non-heating-undeveloped industry-high per capita GDP"and"non-heating-undeveloped industry-low per capita GDP"using single multistep classification and AdaBoost algorithm.During 2005-2015,the average per capita total energy consumption in China increased gradually.The per capita total energy consumption of the cities with heating-high per capita GDP was the highest and increased fastest while the cities with non-heating-undeveloped industry-low per capita GDP always ranked the last.

【基金】 教育部人文社会科学规划基金资助项目“中国节能管理城市分类技术与管理策略研究——基于287个城市面板数据的分析”(No.12YJA790111)
  • 【文献出处】 环境污染与防治 ,Environmental Pollution & Control , 编辑部邮箱 ,2019年01期
  • 【分类号】X24
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】148
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