【摘要】 磁县断裂带是华北地震区中重要的断裂之一,1830年该断裂带发生了M7级地震。从分析该带的构造特征和地震活动特征出发,在结合历史地震活动和现今地震活动基础上,利用震级-时间模型对磁县断裂带未来强震活动进行预测,结果表明,未来该段中南的总体活动水平维持在5级左右。更多还原

【Abstract】 The Cixian fault zone is one of the important earthquake faults in North China,aM7earthquake occurred in the fault in 1830.Based on the tectonic characteristics and historical and present seismic activity,we use the magnitude-time model to calculate the probability of seismicity of Cixian fault in the future.更多还原