【摘要】 信息发布的不同路径决定了事件不同的走向。为了研究地震信息在不同传播方式下的扩散特征,本文以Bass模型为基础,建立了正确信息和谣言信息的扩散模型,通过仿真分析找出了扩散路径的主要影响参数和两类信息扩散状态的差异,并以2009年4月6日安徽肥东3.5级地震事件为例构建模型,提出了针对地震谣言实施有效控制和处置的建议对策。更多还原

【Abstract】 Different diffusion model of information leads to different trend of it.In order to study the diffusion characteristics of earthquake disaster information in different distribution model,this paper establishes diffusion model of real information and that of rumors information based on Bass model.Through system simulation and analysis,this paper finds out the main parameters of diffusion model and different state of the diffusion of real information and rumors,and also gives out effective control and countermeasure to earthquake rumors by modeling and analysis of an Ms3.5 earthquake occurred on April 6,2009 in Feidong of Anhui Province.更多还原