【摘要】 以一个青年地震工作者的认知程度分析了青海省地震活动特征、地震监测预报现状,并简要回顾了青海在地震预报方面获得的经验和教训及课题攻关的部分成果,着力分析了几次强震前地震活动图像的普适性和前兆异常的时间演化特征。基于青海地质构造复杂,强震频繁,台点稀疏且分布不合理的现状和特征,探讨了青海省强震综合预报开展的思路和方法,并以2000年9月12日兴海6.6级地震为例对某些思路及预报实践遇到的科学问题进行了分析。更多还原

【Abstract】 Characteristics of seismicity and present situation of earthquake monitoring in Qinghai province are analyzed according to a young seismological worker’s knowledge,especially the characteristics of seismic patterns and precursory anomalous time evolution.On the base of complex geologic structures,high frequency of strong earthquakes,few and scattered stations,the method of comprehensive strong earthquake prediction is discussed,and taken Xinghai earthquake with Ms6.6 on Sept.12,2000 for an example,the scientific problems of prediction are also analyzed.更多还原