【摘要】 综合目前各地震成因假说而提出了地震立体网络多因复成学说,该学说包括两个基本点:地震时空分布具有立体网络性;地震是显、隐性立体网络力能结构上的一个纽结。显性网络力能主要是以应力形式作用的力能,主要来源于地球自身的运转、地壳整体收缩和地幔活动因素,表现为局部性挤压和拉伸,结果往往形成断裂、断裂带、系或其他地球物理薄弱地带。隐性网络力能主要是以连续性(区域)场和瞬间冲击、扰动形式作用的力能,主要来源于太阳、月亮及太阳系各行星因素以及宇宙膨胀复原力能、宇宙高能粒子流或慧星与地球相遇引发的流星雨,表现为区域性引拉和斥推,以及瞬间冲击力、干扰力。隐性网络力对蕴震体物质和能量进行“加载”或“卸载”,结果是广泛沟通蕴震体内部及与外部的联系、调节控制蕴震体振动方式和运动方式及其能量积累和释放、促进或诱发蕴震体发震。显、隐性网络力能叠加于蕴震体,当蕴震体自由振动被叠加振动剧烈加强即蕴震体发生共振时,引起蕴震体加速运动而处于临界态,出现降维、减熵的有序特征,在临界态蕴震体受瞬间冲击或扰动,或者与环境出现解耦,而出现突变、混沌、发生地震。基于地震立体网络多因复成学说认识提出了DZW333预测模式,预测模式包括地震成因物理模型、典型地震发生机制和地震三级预测程序3部分主要内容。DZW即地震网络学说,333即由3类显性物质单元组成,即发震地壳体、球内地幔活动体、球外天体;由3部分力能因素组成,即地壳体自动力能、地幔热压体浮沉力能、星际引斥扰动力能;有3级预测程序,即时空网络预测、形态特征预测、精确信息预测。前两级预测也属于以研究对象中的共性为基础的统计预测,应确定概率值。后一级的信息预测则是以研究对象中的特性为基础的确定性预测,不涉及概率。以唐山大地震为例作了解析。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the comprehending hypotheses on the mechanism of occurrence of earthquakes currently the hypothesis on stereoscopic netlike and polygenetic compound mechanism of occurrence of earthquakes has been put forward, it includes two basic aspects: the earthquake spatiotemporal distribution exhibits the characteristics of the stereoscopic network;earthquake is a node in dominant and recessive stereoscopic network structure. The dominant network force or energy are mainly the one of the stress function, it comes from the Earth movement, earth crust constringency and a mantle convection, expresses to squeeze and extend, as a result, forms the fracture zone or other weak parts of the Earth. The recessive network force or energy are mainly, the impulse and the disturbance, coming from the sun, moon and other planets of solar system, expresses pulling and pushing. The recessive network force or energy “load” or “unload” on the material and energy of the body of accumulating earthquake, resulting in extensive communication between inner part and exterior of contact, regulating and controlling the vibration method and sport way of the body of accumulating earthquake and its energy backlog and release, as well as promoting or inducing the earthquake occurrence. Based on the hypothesis mentioned above, the DZW333 predicting model has been put forward, it includes three parts: the physics model of the earthquake occurrence, the typical mechanism of the earthquake occurrence and the three steps of predicting procedure of earthquake occurrence.Take the case of the Tangshan Earthquake in 1976, it is analysed by use of DZW333 model.更多还原