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东北深源地震对黑龙江及邻近地区浅源地震的影响分析
Influence of Northeast Deep-source Earthquake on Shallow-source Ones in Heilongjiang And Neighboring Place
【摘要】 1900年以来东北深源地震区6.0级以上深源地震与黑龙江及邻近地区5级左右浅源地震存在较好的对应关系。通过概率增益模型检验这种对应关系,发现并非随机对应,而是存在一定的内在物理联系。通过B分布函数的概率计算,预测2010年2月19日中俄交界6.5级地震后两年内,黑龙江及邻近地区发生5级左右地震的概率为0.58。
【Abstract】 Since 1900 the northeast deep level is above 6.0 earthquake zone usage deep earthquake and Heilongjiang and adjacent area 5 magnitude or so shallow earthquake are with good corresponding relation.through the probability gain model to examine the corresponding relation,found that not random correspondence,but there are certain physical contact.Through the B distribution function of the probability method to predict 19 February 2010 the border between China and Russia within two years after a magnitude 6.5 earthquake,Heilongjiang and adjacent region is about the probability of earthquake level 5 to 0.58.
【Key words】 Northeast region; Shallow-source earthquake; Probability gain model; B distributions function;
- 【文献出处】 防灾科技学院学报 ,Journal of Institute of Disaster Prevention , 编辑部邮箱 ,2011年04期
- 【分类号】P315
- 【网络出版时间】2012-01-09 11:14
- 【下载频次】67