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利用最大熵原理预测安徽及华东地区中小地震活动水平
Use the Maximum Entropy Principle to Analyze the Earthquake in Anhui and East China
【摘要】 利用最大熵原理对安徽及华东地区中小地震活动水平进行统计预测,结果显示:安徽地区一年之内一般会发生Ms≥2.5地震,有可能发生Ms≥3.0地震,然而发生Ms≥3.5级地震的可能性不大。华东地区一年内一般会发生Ms≥3.5地震,有可能发生Ms≥4.0级地震,但发生Ms≥4.5级地震的可能性不大。
【Abstract】 Use the maximum entropy principle to analyze the earthquake activity in Anhui and East China.The results are follows: within one year,in Anhui region the probability Ms≥2.5 is between 0.8 and 1.0,the probability Ms≥3.0 is between 0.5 and 0.8,but the probability Ms≥3.5 is between 0.3 and 0.5.In East China,the probability Ms≥3.5 is between 0.8 and 1.0,the probability Ms≥4.0 is between 0.5 and 0.8,but the probability Ms≥4.5 is between 0.3 and 0.5.
【关键词】 最大熵原理;
地震活动;
安徽;
华东地区;
【Key words】 maximum entropy principle; earthquake activity; Anhui; East China;
【Key words】 maximum entropy principle; earthquake activity; Anhui; East China;
- 【文献出处】 防灾科技学院学报 ,Journal of Institute of Disaster-Prevention Science and Technology , 编辑部邮箱 ,2010年01期
- 【分类号】P315.5
- 【下载频次】68