【摘要】 本文对1900年以来全球逐年发生的7.0级以上地震的活动图像进行详细分析,找出历史上地震活动与本年度地震活动分布相类似的年份,对这些年份之后的1～2年内发生在中国大陆、大华北、华东及安徽地区的中强震进行对比分析,力求得到较为合理的结论,为下年度的中国大陆、大华北、华东及安徽地区的地震趋势预测提供较为可靠的依据。分析得知:震后次年对中国大陆(主要是西部地区)影响最为明显;其次是对大华北地区的影响;然后是对华东地区(主要是海域)的影响;对安徽地区的影响较小。更多还原

【Abstract】 In this paper,a detailed seismic image analysis of M7.0 and above earthquakes which occurred in the globe since 1900 is carried out to find out the years during which seismic activity distribution is similar to the one of this year.Moderate and strong earthquakes in China mainland,Great North China,East China and Anhui after 1 year or 2 years of those analyzed are compared with the previous ones to obtain a more reasonable conclusions,providing a reference for the trend of regional earthquake forecast of China mainland,Great North China,East China and Anhui in the next year.A conclusion is made that: the impact on China mainland(mainly in the western regions) was the most obvious in the following year after the earthquake;followed by the Great North China region;then is in East China(mainly the sea);and Anhui is a less affected area.更多还原