【摘要】 基于2007-2016年中国25个省市的面板数据,采用合成控制法检验了天津碳交易试点的减排效果,实证结果表明,天津实现了环境红利,但是减排效果甚微。一方面,天津碳交易试点采用历史排放法进行配额分配导致碳配额供过于求;另一方面,也有经济发展增速、产业结构、能源消费结构、碳市场发展状况等方面的原因。建议逐步实现经济增长和碳排放的完全脱钩、优化升级产业结构及能源消费结构,加快我国碳市场配套设施的建设,真正实现低碳可持续发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the panel data of 25 provinces and cities in China from 2007 to 2016,the article uses the synthetic control method to test the emission reduction effect of Tianjin Carbon Trading Pilot. The empirical results show that Tianjin has achieved an environmental dividend,but the emission reduction effect is minimal. On the one hand,Tianjin Carbon Trading Pilot uses the historical emission method for quota allocation,resulting in oversupply of carbon allowances. On the other hand,it is also due to the economic growth,industrial structure,energy consumption structure and the development of carbon market. It is suggested that we should gradually realize the complete decoupling of economic growth and carbon emissions,optimize and upgrade the industrial structure and energy consumption structure,and accelerate the construction of supporting facilities in China’s carbon market,so as to truly realize the low-carbon and sustainable development.更多还原