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川滇地区强震孕育过程中的中等地震动态演化特征

Dynamic Evolvement of Moderate Earthquakes in the Preparation of StrongEarthquakes in Sichuan-Yunnan Area

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【作者】 李永莉苏有锦李忠华刘丽芳

【Author】 Li Yongli Su Youjin Li Zhonghua Liu Lifang (Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province, Kunming 650041,China)

【机构】 云南省地震局云南省地震局 昆明650041昆明650041昆明650041

【摘要】 引用有关地震活动的频度面积S值方法[1 ] ,对川滇地区 1970年以来 6 7级以上强震前后的中等地震活动进行研究 ,发现强震的S值在震前和震后的异常变化特征既有共性又有个性。共性主要表现为 :在震前S值异常为高值或低值异常 ,震后下降或上升 ;对特定区域研究发现 ,滇西南地区强震的孕震区中等地震活动的S值震前异常主要为高值 ,而滇西地区强震孕震区中等地震活动的S值震前异常主要表现为低值。表明对川滇地区强震孕震区中等地震活动的频度面积S值方法的动态追踪 ,利用其变化规律可以为强震的预测预报提供一定的判定指标

【Abstract】 The seismicity of the moderate earthquake before and after the strong earthquake with M≥6.7 since 1970 is studied by way of Frequency-Area Method (namely S-value Method)proposed by Wen-xuan Du. Then, a phenomenon is found that the anomaly variation of S-value before and after the strong earthquake is characterized by both commonality and individuality. The commonality is that the S-value becomes a high anomalous value or a low anomalous one before the strong earthquake occurs and it decreases or increases after the strong earthquake occurs. The individuality is that in the seismogenic area of strong earthquakes in southwest Yunnan, S-value becomes a high anomalous value before the strong earthquake occurs. But in west Yunnan, S-value becomes a low anomalous value before strong earthquake occurs. The study shows that one can make the dynamic tracing of S-value in the seismogenic area in Sichuan-Yunnan area and provide criteria for the earthquake prediction

【基金】 国家“十五”科技攻关项目 ( 2 0 0 1BA60 1B0 1-0 2 -0 2 )资助
  • 【文献出处】 地震研究 ,Journal of Seismological Research , 编辑部邮箱 ,2004年01期
  • 【分类号】P315
  • 【被引频次】4
  • 【下载频次】74
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