【摘要】 采用贝叶斯模型和地震危害性分析两种概率方法综合预测克孜尔水库大坝在不同超越概率下的震害等级。采用抗震强度为主因子的二次判别模式法对库区指挥系统 -办公楼进行震害预测。更多还原

【Abstract】 Applying two probabilistic methods of Bayes’s models and seismic hazard analysis,we give comprehensive prediction of the rate of seismic hazard of Kezier reservoir’s dam at different levels of exceeding probabilities.According to the method of quadratic discriminance mode taking aseismic intensity as main factor,the seismic hazard of the office building,which is the command center in the region of the reservoir,is predicted.更多还原