【摘要】 在充分吸收和消化活动断裂、活动盆地、地球物理场、地震活动、现代构造应力场和地震前兆资料的基础上，归纳总结出它们与地震活动的关系，确定了地震活动的时、空、强判定标志和原则，综合判定了中期（３～５年）和中短期（１～３年）地震危险区，为地震的短临监测预报跟踪提供了依据。更多还原

【Abstract】 The relation of seismicity associated with active fracture and basin, geophysic field, current tectonic stress field and precursor is obtained. The discrimination criteria and principle time, space and strengh of seismicity is determined. The seismic hazard zones of medium short (1～3 years) and medium (3～5 years) terms are delineatd.更多还原