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郯庐带中南段及邻区井水位同震响应特征
The water level coseismal effect characteristics and its significance in earthquake prediction of mid-south segment and its adjacent area of Tanlu fault belt
【摘要】 分析郯庐带中南段与其邻区井水位对汶川8.0级与日本9.0级地震的同震响应特征,指出汶川地震时同震阶升井集中出现在安徽地区,之后该区发生Ms3.8中等地震的事实,指出日本地震后该区无一口同震阶升井,由此推测,未来1—2年内郯庐带中南段发生中等以上地震的可能性不大。
【Abstract】 In this paper,the well water level coseismic response characteristics and its mechanical signicance is briefly introduced.The the possibility of using coseismic step uplift area to judge the future seismic risk regions is discussed.On this basis,the coseismic variation characteristics on the water level of mid-south segment and its adjacent area of Tanlu fault belt to the Wenchuan M 8.0 earthquake and Japan M 9.0 earthquake are analyzed.It is pointed out that the coseismic step shafts appeared mainly in Anhui area during the Wenchuan earthquake, and afterwards a moderate earthquake of M_S 3.8 occurred in this area.The analysis result further pointed out that there is no coseismic step shaft after the Japan earthquake, there for the risk of occurring moderate earthquakes is not obvious in the next one or two years.
【Key words】 water level; coseismic step change; seismic risk region; mid-south segment of Tanlu fault belt;
- 【文献出处】 地震地磁观测与研究 ,Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research , 编辑部邮箱 ,2012年Z1期
- 【分类号】P315
- 【被引频次】1
- 【下载频次】16