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县(市)绝对地震应急能力评估方法的初步研究

A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON ASSESSMENT METHOD OF ABSOLUTE EARTHQUAKE EMERGENCY RESPONSE ABILITY AT COUNTY LEVEL

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【作者】 邓砚聂高众苏桂武

【Author】 DENG Yan NIE Gao-zhong SU Gui-wu (Institute of Geology,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029,China)

【机构】 中国地震局地质研究所

【摘要】 县(市)地震应急能力的高低直接关系到中国整个地震应急工作的成效。从县(市)绝对地震应急能力的内涵分析出发,结合汶川地震灾区县(市)地震应急能力实地调研工作取得的认识,首先初步构建了县(市)绝对地震应急能力指标体系框架;然后以四川省县(市)为例,在遵循科学性、系统优化和可操作性原则的基础上,构建了围绕着1个目标层,设定5个准则层、9个指标层和17个变量层的四川省县(市)绝对地震应急能力的评价指标体系;继而建立了一个基于主成分分析法和多指标综合法的四川省县(市)绝对地震应急能力综合评价模型。县(市)绝对地震应急能力评价指标体系和评估方法的建立能够对县(市)地震应急能力进行定量化的评价,从而为加强县(市)基层政府地震应急能力建设、提高其地震应急管理水平提供科学的依据。

【Abstract】 The absolute earthquake emergency ability at county level is directly related to the effectiveness of the whole earthquake emergency response of China.This paper firstly analyzes the definition of absolute earthquake emergency response ability at county level,and then,based on the field survey of earthquake emergency response ability at county level after the Wenchuan earthquake,constructs preliminarily the index system for evaluating the county-level absolute earthquake emergency response ability and the comprehensive assessment.Finally,taking the counties and cities of Sichuan Province as example,the paper constructs the evaluation index system,which includes one object layer,five rule layers,nine factor layers and seventeen variable layers.Meanwhile,it puts forward comprehensive assessment method based on principal components analysis and multifactor comprehensive analysis.This method will help to assess quantificationally the absolute earthquake emergency response ability at county level,thus strengthening the ability of the county government in the management of earthquake emergency response.

【基金】 中国地震局地质研究所基本科研业务专项(DG-IGCEA060824);国家科技支撑课题(2008BAK50B0303,2008BAC44B01);地震行业科研专项(200708007)
  • 【文献出处】 地震地质 ,Seismology and Geology , 编辑部邮箱 ,2011年01期
  • 【分类号】P315.9
  • 【被引频次】17
  • 【下载频次】251
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