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华北b值全时空扫描结果的可靠性及与地震的相关性

Reliability of time-space scanning results of b value and correlativity between b vales and earthquakes with M≥5.0 in North China

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【作者】 郑兆刘东旺沈小七汪雪泉

【Author】 ZHENG Zhao bi, LIU Dong wang, SHEN Xiao qui, WANG Xue quan (Seismological Bureau of Anhui Province, Hefei 230031, China)

【机构】 安徽省地震局!安徽合肥230031

【摘要】 用常规方法计算得到 1 970~ 1 999年华北 b值全时空扫描结果 ,详细分析了影响结果可靠性的多种因素 ,用模糊相关分析方法得到不同参数计算的 b值与对应地震震级的模糊矩阵和模糊推理结果。认为 ,当用 2°× 2°进行全时空扫描时 ,不能提取出 b值异常指标。以地震为研究对象划定研究区 ,结果显示 ,有异常有地震的信息明显高于有异常无地震的信息量 ,可取 b<0 .65为异常指标

【Abstract】 Authors have got the time space scanning results of b values from 1970~1999 in North China, they analyzed in detail several elements influencing reliability of the results, and obtained fuzzy matrixes and fuzzy results as well. The results show that anomalous indices of b values cannot be determined in the whole time space range of 2°×2° unit. However, when the seismic anomalous information is bigger than aseismic one, and the research ranges are selected considering the epicenter of earthquake with M ≥5.0 and its neighboring area, b <0.65 can be taken as the anomalous indices.

【关键词】 b值模糊相关华北
【Key words】 b valueFuzzy correlativityNorth China
【基金】 地震科学联合基金资助项目 (95-0 7-4 3 1 )
  • 【分类号】P315.7
  • 【被引频次】5
  • 【下载频次】78
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