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地震调制比及其在华北地震中期预报中的应用

Seismic modulating ratio and its application to mid-term earthquake prediction in North China

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【作者】 王炜宋先月谢端王琤琤

【Author】 WANG Wei 1, SONG Xian yue 1, XIE Duan 2, WANG Zheng zheng 3 (1. Seismological Bureau of Shanghai, Shanghai 200062, China; 2. Chinese University of Science and Technology, Hefei 230026, China; 3.Seismological Bureau of Jiangsu Province, Nanjing 21

【机构】 上海市地震局!上海200026中国科学技术大学!安徽合肥230026江苏省地震局!江苏南京210014

【摘要】 通过对调制比预报地震方法进行改进 ,并使用改进后的地震调制比 Rm10 对华北地区进行空间扫描。结果表明 ,中强地震前 1~ 3年 ,未来震中周围通常出现 Rm10 中期异常区 ,具有较好的中期预报效果

【Abstract】 The prediction method of seismic modulating ratio is proved in this paper. The seismicity data are used to space scanning in North China by use of the proven method of seismic modulating ratio Rm10. The result shows that in mid term about 1~3 years before most strong earthquakes there are obviously anomaly zones of Rm10 in the neighborhood of epicenter in general. This method has very good effects in mid term earthquake prediciton.

【基金】 “九五”中国地震局科研攻关项目!( 95-0 4 -0 9)
  • 【分类号】P315.72
  • 【被引频次】8
  • 【下载频次】37
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