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强震系处于不同状态的k-T关系

k-T RELATION OF STRONG SEISMIC SYSTEM UNDER THE DIFFERENT STATES

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【作者】 张立人

【Author】 Zhang Liren(Center for Analysis and Prediction, SSB, Beijing 100036, China)

【机构】 国家地震局分析预报中心!中国北京100036

【摘要】 地震区(带)的强震处于系统的前临界状态-临界状态阶段,为高强度的强震系列活动,相邻的强震时间间隔T随时间呈现逐次递减的趋势;而在后临界态阶段为低强度的地震活动系列,T随时间有递增的趋势。k为间隔序号。可以k=AeBT关系分别描述二种不同状态的强震系列特征,对于前临界状态一临界状态B<0,后临界状态B>0。以中国大陆及邻区、华北地震区和青藏高原北区的拟合k-T关系,对这3个地震区的中一长期地震趋势进行了预测。

【Abstract】 Strong seismic systems are of high intensity activity under pre-critical state -critical state. Time interval between two adjacent earthquakes T has shortened with time; but the systems are lower intensity activity, and Twould be longer after the critical state. k is the exponential function of T: k = AeBT, where k is sequence number of T,A and B are coefficients, B>0 after the critical state, B<0 before the pre-critical state-critical state. k-T relations of China’s continent and adjacent area, Northern Qing-zang plateau and North China have been fitted, which have been used for middle- and long term seismic trend prediction of the above mentioned three areas.

【基金】 国家地震局“八五”科研攻关项目
  • 【分类号】P315
  • 【下载频次】19
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