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常熟地震(M_S5.1)的前兆分布及其力学联系

PRECURSORY DISTRIBUTION OF CHANGSHU EARTHQUAKE WITH M_S5.1 AND ITS MECHANICAL CORRELATION

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【作者】 张绍治范桂英姜慧兰

【Author】 Zhang Shaozhi Fan Guiying Jiang Huilan(Seismological Bureau of Jiangsu Province)

【机构】 江苏省地震局江苏省地震局 中国南京 210014中国南京 210014

【摘要】 本文分析讨论了1990年2月10日常熟M_S5.1地震前地电阻率、短水准、地应力、地倾斜、地下水等前兆异常现象的力学联系;建立了北西向压扭性断裂前兆分区模型,反映在不同区域里各种前兆均有其一定的表现特征,说明以力学联系为纽带,前兆异常时间与空间分布的呼应性是地震中期预测的一项重要指标,同时表明综合分析识别异常的必要性。

【Abstract】 This paper analyzed the mechanical correlation of some precursors occurred be -fore Changshu earthquake with MS5.1 on Feb. 10,1990; those precursors are earth resis -tivity, short levelling, earth stress, earth tilting and ground water etc. The precursory regionalized model of NW-striking compression-shearing faulting is established, re -fleeting that there is a certain expressional feature of all precursors occurred in diffe -rent regions. It is suggested that the correspondence of the temporal and spatial distri -bution of precursory anomalies is an important criterion for the medium-term earth quake prediction based on their mechanical correlation. At same time, it also indicates the necessity to recognize the anomalies by the comprehensive analysis.

  • 【分类号】P315
  • 【下载频次】31
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