【摘要】 地震危险性分析工作在我国已趋于成熟,而海啸危险性分析则刚刚起步。论文从介绍海啸危险性分析的基本原理和步骤出发,基于数值模拟技术,针对我国南部沿海的大鹏湾附近场点开展地震海啸危险性概率分析,给出了超越概率曲线,为实现我国沿海地区地震海啸危险性区划图具有一定参考意义。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the development of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis( PSHA),tsunami hazard analysis method has gradually practiced and turned to probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis( PTHA). Especially for the areas lack of the historical tsunami data,the numerical simulation method is the best effective way to evaluate the tsunami hazard. In this paper,we accomplish the work of PTHA on a giant infrastructure site,which can provide technical supports for constructing China tsunami zonation map.更多还原