节点文献
辽宁地区5级以上地震复发间隔及地震概率预测模型研究
RECURRENCE INTERVAL AND PROBABILITY PREDICTION MODEL OF THE EARTHQUAKES MORE THAN 5.0 MAGNITUDE IN LIAONING PROVINCE
【摘要】 详细分析了辽宁地区三个震级档的地震复发间隔分布;基于Poisson分布,构建了辽宁地区5.0、5.5和6.0级三个震级档的Poisson概率预测模型及具有概率水平指标的三级预测预警指标。
【Abstract】 This paper analyses the earthquake recurrence interval distribution of three magnitude intervals.Based on the Poisson distribution,it also builds the probability prediction model of three magnitude intervals including magnitude 5.0,5.5 and 6.0 and establishes the forecasting warning index of the above three magnitude levels.
【关键词】 辽宁地区;
5级以上地震;
复发间隔;
概率预测模型;
【Key words】 Liaoning region; earthquakes more than 5.0 magnitude; recurrence interval; probability prediction model;
【Key words】 Liaoning region; earthquakes more than 5.0 magnitude; recurrence interval; probability prediction model;
【基金】 沈阳市科技项目(F10-138-9-00)
- 【文献出处】 防灾减灾学报 ,Journal of Disaster Prevention and Reduction , 编辑部邮箱 ,2012年02期
- 【分类号】P315.7
- 【被引频次】3
- 【下载频次】45